Ottar Bjornstad
Huck Chair of Epidemiology; Distinguished Professor of Entomology and Biology; Adjunct Professor in Statistics
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Population ecology and population dynamics with particular emphasis on mathematical and computational aspects
Huck Graduate Students
Publication Tags
Immunity Vaccines Climate Vaccination Population Dynamics Uncertainty Disease Outbreaks Geographical Variation Whooping Cough Influenza Incidence Human Influenza Insects Pandemics Synchrony Infection Temperature Moth Lymantria Dispar Temporal Variation Humidity Methodology Perturbation Weather Pandemic
Most Recent Papers
Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control
Shou Li Li, Matthew J. Ferrari, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Michael C. Runge, Christopher J. Fonnesbeck, Michael J. Tildesley, David Pannell, Katriona Shea, 2019, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Local and regional climate variables driving spring phenology of tortricid pests
Damie Pak, David Biddinger, Ottar N. Bjornstad, 2019, Ecological Entomology on p. 367-379
Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States
Stephen M. Kissler, Julia R. Gog, Cécile Viboud, Vivek Charu, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Lone Simonsen, Bryan T. Grenfell, 2019, Epidemics on p. 86-94
Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue
Ruiyun Li, Lei Xu, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Keke Liu, Tie Song, Aifang Chen, Bing Xu, Qiyong Liu, Nils C. Stenseth, 2019, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America on p. 3624-3629
Asymmetric interactions and their consequences for vital rates and dynamics
W. A. Nelson, B. Joncour, D. Pak, Ottar N. Bjornstad, 2019, Ecology
Quantifying spatio-temporal variation of invasion spread
Joshua Goldstein, Jaewoo Park, Murali Haran, Andrew Liebhold, Ottar N. Bjornstad, 2019, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Pastoral production is associated with increased peste des petits ruminants seroprevalence in northern Tanzania across sheep, goats and cattle
C. M. Herzog, W. A. de Glanville, B. J. Willett, T. J. Kibona, I. M. Cattadori, V. Kapur, P. J. Hudson, J. Buza, S. Cleaveland, O. N. Bjørnstad, 2019, Epidemiology and Infection
Long-term dynamics of measles in London
Alexander D. Becker, Amy Wesolowski, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Bryan T. Grenfell, 2019, PLoS computational biology
Spatial synchrony in sub-arctic geometrid moth outbreaks reflects dispersal in larval and adult life cycle stages
Ole Petter Laksforsmo Vindstad, Jane Uhd Jepsen, Nigel Gilles Yoccoz, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Michel d.S. Mesquita, Rolf Anker Ims, 2019, Journal of Animal Ecology on p. 1134-1145
Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities
Benjamin D. Dalziel, Stephen Kissler, Julia R. Gog, Cecile Viboud, Ottar N. Bjornstad, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Bryan T. Grenfell, 2018, Science on p. 75-79
Recent Most-Cited Papers
Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure
Jennie S. Lavine, Aaron A. King, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America on p. 7259-7264
Spatial Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza in the US
Julia R. Gog, Sébastien Ballesteros, Cécile Viboud, Lone Simonsen, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Jeffrey Shaman, Dennis L. Chao, Farid Khan, Bryan T. Grenfell, 2014, PLoS computational biology
Short-lived immunity against pertussis, age-specific routes of transmission, and the utility of a teenage booster vaccine
Jennie S. Lavine, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio, Jann Storsaeter, 2012, Vaccine on p. 544-551
The effect of seasonality, density and climate on the population dynamics of Montana deer mice, important reservoir hosts for Sin Nombre hantavirus
Angela D. Luis, Richard J. Douglass, James N. Mills, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, 2010, Journal of Animal Ecology on p. 462-470
Recurrent insect outbreaks caused by temperature-driven changes in system stability
William A. Nelson, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Takehiko Yamanaka, 2013, Science on p. 796-799
Partitioning regulatory mechanisms of within-host malaria dynamics using the effective propagation number
C. J.E. Metcalf, A. L. Graham, S. Huijben, V. C. Barclay, G. H. Long, B. T. Grenfell, A. F. Read, O. N. Bjørnstad, 2011, Science on p. 984-988
Geographical variation in the spatial synchrony of a forest-defoliating insect
Kyle J. Haynes, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Andrew J. Allstadt, Andrew M. Liebhold, 2013, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Imperfect vaccine-induced immunity and whooping cough transmission to infants
Jennie Lavine, Hélène Broutin, Eric T. Harvill, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, 2010, Vaccine on p. 11-16
Geographic variation in North American gypsy moth cycles
Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Christelle Robinet, Andrew M. Liebhold, 2010, Ecology on p. 106-118
The geography of spatial synchrony
Jonathan A. Walter, Lawrence W. Sheppard, Thomas L. Anderson, Jude H. Kastens, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Andrew M. Liebhold, Daniel C. Reuman, 2017, Ecology Letters on p. 801-814