Professor of Biology; Alumni Professor in the Biological Sciences
The use of ecological theory in population management.
Huck Graduate Students
- Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics
- Ecology Institute
- Center for Pollinator Research
- Plant Institute
- Center for Mathematical Biology
- Insect Biodiversity Center
- Center for Chemical Ecology
Publication TagsUncertainty Foot And Mouth Disease Vaccination Farms Ecosystem Epidemiology Infection Hospitalization Decision Making Ecosystems Disease Outbreaks Climate Change Recommendations Mowing Cattle Disturbance Learning Resource Ecology Pandemics Mortality Effect Hemagglutination Public Health Pollinator
Most Recent Publications
William J.M. Probert, Sam Nicol, Matthew J. Ferrari, Shou Li Li, Katriona Shea, Michael J. Tildesley, Michael C. Runge, 2022, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Hidetoshi Inamine, Adam Miller, Stephen Roxburgh, Angus Buckling, Katriona Shea, 2022, American Naturalist on p. 571-583
Joseph A. Keller, Katriona Shea, 2022, Ecological Applications
Kim M. Pepin, Amy J. Davis, Rebecca S. Epanchin-Niell, Andrew M. Gormley, Joslin L. Moore, Timothy J. Smyser, H. Bradley Shaffer, William L. Kendall, Katriona Shea, Michael C. Runge, Sophie McKee, 2022, Ecological Applications
Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey
José L. Herrera-Diestra, Michael Tildesley, Katriona Shea, Matthew J. Ferrari, 2022, PLoS Computational Biology
Luke Lear, Daniel Padfield, Hidetoshi Inamine, Katriona Shea, Angus Buckling, 2022, Ecology
Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling
Nicholas G. Reich, Justin Lessler, Sebastian Funk, Cecile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Katriona Shea, Melanie Schienle, Michael C. Runge, Roni Rosenfeld, Evan L. Ray, Rene Niehus, Helen C. Johnson, Michael A. Johansson, Harry Hochheiser, Lauren Gardner, Johannes Bracher, Rebecca K. Borchering, Matthew Biggerstaff, 2022, American Journal of Public Health on p. 839-842
Colin Campbell, Laura Russo, Réka Albert, Angus Buckling, Katriona Shea, 2022, PLoS Computational Biology
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination
Shaun Truelove, Claire P. Smith, Michelle Qin, Luke C. Mullany, Rebecca K. Borchering, Justin Lessler, Katriona Shea, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, Harry Hochheiser, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Joseph C. Lemairtre, Juan Dent, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C. Lee, Javier Perez-Saez, Alison Hill, Dean Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore Y. Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Mark Orr, Galen Harrison, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Anil Vullikanti, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa K. Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey L. Shaman, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff, Michael A. Johansson, Michael C. Runge, Cecile Viboud, 2022, eLife
Ben Swallow, Paul Birrell, Joshua Blake, Mark Burgman, Peter Challenor, Luc E. Coffeng, Philip Dawid, Daniela De Angelis, Michael Goldstein, Victoria Hemming, Glenn Marion, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Christopher E. Overton, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Will Probert, Katriona Shea, Daniel Villela, Ian Vernon, 2022, Epidemics
Laura Russo, Nelson Debarros, Suann Yang, Katriona Shea, David Mortensen, 2013, Ecology and Evolution on p. 3125-3140
Katriona Shea, Michael J. Tildesley, Michael C. Runge, Christopher J. Fonnesbeck, Matthew J. Ferrari, 2014, PLoS Biology on p. e1001970
E. J. Milner-Gulland, Katriona Shea, 2017, Journal of Applied Ecology on p. 2063-2068
Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021
Rebecca K. Borchering, Cécile Viboud, Emily Howerton, Claire P. Smith, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Nicholas G. Reich, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Salerno, Wilbert Van Panhuis, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, R. Freddy Obrecht, Laura Asher, Cash Costello, Michael Kelbaugh, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Molly E. Gallagher, Luke C. Mullany, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Juan Dent ScM, Kyra H. Grantz, Joshua Kaminsky, Stephen A. Lauer, Elizabeth C. Lee, Hannah R. Meredith, Javier Perez-Saez, Lindsay T. Keegan, Dean Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore Y. Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, James Schlitt, Patrick Corbett, Pyrros Alexander Telionis, Lijing Wang, Akhil Sai Peddireddy, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Anil Vullikanti, Madhav Marathe, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff, Michael A. Johansson, Katriona Shea, Justin Lessler, 2021, MMWR Recommendations and Reports on p. 719-724
Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Katriona Shea, Martin Krzywinski, Naomi Altman, 2020, Nature Methods on p. 557-558
William J.M. Probert, Katriona Shea, Christopher J. Fonnesbeck, Michael C. Runge, Tim E. Carpenter, Salome Dürr, M. Graeme Garner, Neil Harvey, Mark A. Stevenson, Colleen T. Webb, Marleen Werkman, Michael J. Tildesley, Matthew J. Ferrari, 2016, Epidemics on p. 10-19
Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Katriona Shea, Martin Krzywinski, Naomi Altman, 2020, Nature Methods on p. 455-456
How do duration, frequency, and intensity of exogenous CORT elevation affect immune outcomes of stress?
Gail L. McCormick, Katriona Shea, Tracy Langkilde, 2015, General and Comparative Endocrinology on p. 81-87
Intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of intraspecific variation in seed dispersal are diverse and pervasive
Eugene W. Schupp, Rafal Zwolak, Landon R. Jones, Rebecca S. Snell, Noelle G. Beckman, Clare Aslan, Brittany R. Cavazos, Edu Effiom, Evan C. Fricke, Flavia Montaño-Centellas, John Poulsen, Onja H. Razafindratsima, Manette E. Sandor, Katriona Shea, 2019, AoB PLANTS
Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: Insights from invasions
P. Caplat, P. O. Cheptou, J. Diez, A. Guisan, B. M.H. Larson, A. S. Macdougall, D. A. Peltzer, D. M. Richardson, K. Shea, M. van Kleunen, R. Zhang, Y. M. Buckley, 2013, Oikos on p. 1265-1274
News Articles Featuring Katriona Shea
Dec 01, 2022
Q&A: What can we expect from COVID-19 this winter?
Katriona Shea, Alumni Professor in the Biological Sciences at Penn State, co-leads the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, which has provided projections for COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths in the United States to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.
Mar 25, 2022
Experts fear U.S. won’t see next COVID surge coming
As coronavirus infections rise in some parts of the world, experts are watching for a potential new COVID-19 surge in the U.S. — and wondering how long it will take to detect.
Mar 25, 2022
Experts worry about how US will see next COVID surge coming
Experts are watching for a potential new COVID-19 surge in the U.S. — and wondering how long it will take to detect
Jan 26, 2022
As Omicron Variant Slows, Health Officials Offer Hope
World health officials are offering hope that the slowing spread of Omicron may lead to a weakening of the COVID-19 pandemic. But officials also warn of hard weeks ahead and the possibility of another, more dangerous variant appearing.
Jan 24, 2022
Model: twentyfold drop in Mass. COVID-19 hospitalizations by spring
Uncertainty remains over Omicron immunity, possible Delta comeback
Jan 24, 2022
Hope seen once the omicron wave increases global immunity
World health officials are offering hope that the ebbing of the omicron wave could give way to a new, more manageable phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, even as they warn of difficult weeks ahead and the possibility of another, more dangerous variant arising.
Jan 22, 2022
‘An optimistic trend’: Covid cases are falling, but U.S. isn’t out of the woods yet
Case counts have a long way down to go, meaning many more infections are expected in the coming weeks.
Jan 21, 2022
Two years since Covid was first confirmed in U.S., the pandemic is worse than anyone imagined
A 35-year-old man returned to the U.S. from Wuhan, China on Jan. 15, 2020 and fell ill with a cough and fever. He had read an alert from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about an outbreak of a novel coronavirus in Wuhan and sought treatment at an urgent care clinic in Snohomish County, Washington four days later.
Jan 05, 2022
When will Omicron peak? A Penn State professor shares national COVID-19 modeling team's projections
Katriona Shea, an Alumni Professor in the biological sciences at Penn State, is co-leader of the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub Coordination Team. It brings together researchers from institutions across the United States to offer projections on the pandemic and advise the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. WPSU’s Anne Danahy spoke with Shea about what we might expect from Omicron and the pandemic.
Dec 03, 2021
Take Note: COVID-19 modeling expert and Penn State professor on the Omicron variant and how modeling works
Katriona Shea, an Alumni Professor in the biological sciences at Penn State, is co-leader of a national team that advises the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Known as the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub Coordination Team, it brings together researchers from institutions across the United States to offer projections on the pandemic.