Matthew Ferrari
Director of the Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics; Huck Career Development Professor; Professor of Biology

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W243 Millennium Science Complex
University Park, PA 16802 - He/Him
- mjf283@psu.edu
- 814-865-6080
Research Summary
Public Health, Quantitative Epidemiology, Population Ecology, Statistics, Computational and Mathematical Biology
Huck Affiliations
Links
Publication Tags
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Vaccination Measles Vaccines Immunization Population Health Disease Outbreaks Foot And Mouth Disease Farms Vaccination Coverage Epidemiology Coverage Infection Uncertainty Death Pandemics Income Incidence Dose Sars Virus Cattle Learning Public Health Disease Eradication ImmunityMost Recent Publications
Population-Level Risk Factors Related to Measles Case Fatality: A Conceptual Framework Based on Expert Consultation and Literature Review
Alyssa N. Sbarra, Mark Jit, Jonathan F. Mosser, Matthew Ferrari, Felicity Cutts, Mark Papania, Katrina Kretsinger, Kevin A. McCarthy, Niket Thakkar, Katy A.M. Gaythorpe, Deepa Gamage, L. Kendall Krause, Emily Dansereau, Natasha Crowcroft, Allison Portnoy, 2023, Vaccines
Estimating national-level measles case–fatality ratios in low-income and middle-income countries: an updated systematic review and modelling study
Alyssa N. Sbarra, Jonathan F. Mosser, Mark Jit, Matthew Ferrari, Rebecca E. Ramshaw, Patrick O'Connor, L. Kendall Krause, Emma L.B. Rogowski, Allison Portnoy, 2023, The Lancet Global Health on p. e516-e524
Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty
Katriona Shea, Rebecca K. Borchering, William J.M. Probert, Emily Howerton, Tiffany L. Bogich, Shou Li Li, Willem G. van Panhuis, Cecile Viboud, Ricardo Aguás, Artur A. Belov, Sanjana H. Bhargava, Sean M. Cavany, Joshua C. Chang, Cynthia Chen, Jinghui Chen, Shi Chen, Yang Quan Chen, Lauren M. Childs, Carson C. Chow, Isabel Crooker, Sara Y. Del Valle, Guido España, Geoffrey Fairchild, Richard C. Gerkin, Timothy C. Germann, Quanquan Gu, Xiangyang Guan, Lihong Guo, Gregory R. Hart, Thomas J. Hladish, Nathaniel Hupert, Daniel Janies, Cliff C. Kerr, Daniel J. Klein, Eili Y. Klein, Gary Lin, Carrie Manore, Lauren Ancel Meyers, John E. Mittler, Kunpeng Mu, Rafael C. Núñez, Rachel J. Oidtman, Remy Pasco, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Rajib Paul, Carl A.B. Pearson, Dianela R. Perdomo, T. Alex Perkins, Kelly Pierce, Alexander N. Pillai, Rosalyn Cherie Rael, Katherine Rosenfeld, Chrysm Watson Ross, Julie A. Spencer, Arlin B. Stoltzfus, Kok Ben Toh, Shashaank Vattikuti, Alessandro Vespignani, Lingxiao Wang, Lisa J. White, Pan Xu, Yupeng Yang, Osman N. Yogurtcu, Weitong Zhang, Yanting Zhao, Difan Zou, Matthew J. Ferrari, David Pannell, Michael J. Tildesley, Jack Seifarth, Elyse Johnson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Michael A. Johansson, Rachel B. Slayton, John D. Levander, Jeff Stazer, Jessica Kerr, Michael C. Runge, 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Large university with high COVID-19 incidence is not associated with excess cases in non-student population
Nita Bharti, Brian Lambert, Cara Exten, Christina Faust, Matthew Ferrari, Anthony Robinson, 2022, Scientific Reports
Differential health impact of intervention programs for time-varying disease risk: a measles vaccination modeling study
Allison Portnoy, Yuli Lily Hsieh, Kaja Abbas, Petra Klepac, Heather Santos, Logan Brenzel, Mark Jit, Matthew Ferrari, 2022, BMC Medicine
Exploring the subnational inequality and heterogeneity of the impact of routine measles immunisation in Africa
Susy Echeverria-Londono, Anna Maria Hartner, Xiang Li, Jeremy Roth, Allison Portnoy, Alyssa N. Sbarra, Kaja Abbas, Matthew Ferrari, Han Fu, Mark Jit, Neil M. Ferguson, Katy A.M. Gaythorpe, 2022, Vaccine on p. 6806-6817
Feasibility of measles and rubella vaccination programmes for disease elimination: a modelling study
Amy K. Winter, Brian Lambert, Daniel Klein, Petra Klepac, Timos Papadopoulos, Shaun Truelove, Colleen Burgess, Heather Santos, Jennifer K. Knapp, Susan E. Reef, Lidia K. Kayembe, Stephanie Shendale, Katrina Kretsinger, Justin Lessler, Emilia Vynnycky, Kevin McCarthy, Matthew Ferrari, Mark Jit, 2022, The Lancet Global Health on p. e1412-e1422
Anticipating infectious disease re-emergence and elimination: a test of early warning signals using empirically based models
Andrew T. Tredennick, Eamon B. O'Dea, Matthew J. Ferrari, Andrew W. Park, Pejman Rohani, John M. Drake, 2022, Journal of the Royal Society Interface
Progress Toward Regional Measles Elimination — Worldwide, 2000–2021
Anna A. Minta, Matt Ferrari, Sebastien Antoni, Allison Portnoy, Alyssa Sbarra, Brian Lambert, Sarah Hauryski, Cynthia Hatcher, Yoann Nedelec, Deblina Datta, Lee Lee Ho, Claudia Steulet, Marta Gacic-Dobo, Paul A. Rota, Mick N. Mulders, Anindya S. Bose, William A. Perea, Patrick O'Connor, 2022, Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report on p. 1489--1495
Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey
Herrera-Diestra, Jos\'e L, José L. Herrera-Diestra, Michael Tildesley, Katriona Shea, Matthew Ferrari, 2022, PLoS Computational Biology on p. e1010354
Most-Cited Papers
Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola
Saki Takahashi, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Matthew J. Ferrari, William J. Moss, Shaun A. Truelove, Andrew J. Tatem, Bryan T. Grenfell, Justin Lessler, 2015, Science on p. 1240--1242
Elective cancer surgery in COVID-19-free surgical pathways during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: An international, multicenter, comparative cohort study
James C. Glasbey, Dmitri Nepogodiev, Joana F.F. Simoes, Omar Omar, Elizabeth Li, Mary L. Venn, Mohammad K.Abou Chaar, Vita Capizzi, Daoud Chaudhry, Anant Desai, Jonathan G. Edwards, Jonathan P. Evans, Marco Fiore, Jose Flavio Videria, Samuel J. Ford, Ian Ganly, Ewen A. Griffiths, Rohan R. Gujjuri, Angelos G. Kolias, Haytham M.A. Kaafarani, Ana Minaya-Bravo, Siobhan C. McKay, Helen M. Mohan, Keith J. Roberts, Carlos San Miguel-Méndez, Peter Pockney, Richard Shaw, Neil J. Smart, Grant D. Stewart, Sudha Sundar, Raghavan Vidya, Aneel A. Bhangu, C. Allemand, L. Boccalatte, M. Figari, M. Lamm, J. Larrañaga, C. Marchitelli, F. Noll, D. Odetto, M. Perrotta, J. Saadi, L. Zamora, C. Alurralde, E. L. Caram, D. Eskinazi, J. P. Mendoza, M. Usandivaras, R. Badra, A. Esteban, 2021, Journal of Clinical Oncology on p. 66-78
Serology for SARS-CoV-2: Apprehensions, opportunities, and the path forward
Juliet E. Bryant, Andrew S. Azman, Matthew J. Ferrari, Benjamin F. Arnold, Maciej F. Boni, Yap Boum, Kyla Hayford, Francisco J. Luquero, Michael J. Mina, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Joseph T. Wu, Djibril Wade, Guy Vernet, Daniel T. Leung, 2020, Science immunology
Estimating the health impact of vaccination against ten pathogens in 98 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2030: a modelling study
Xiang Li, Christinah Mukandavire, Zulma M. Cucunubá, Susy Echeverria Londono, Kaja Abbas, Hannah E. Clapham, Mark Jit, Hope L. Johnson, Timos Papadopoulos, Emilia Vynnycky, Marc Brisson, Emily D. Carter, Andrew Clark, Margaret J. de Villiers, Kirsten Eilertson, Matthew J. Ferrari, Ivane Gamkrelidze, Katy A.M. Gaythorpe, Nicholas C. Grassly, Timothy B. Hallett, Wes Hinsley, Michael L. Jackson, Kévin Jean, Andromachi Karachaliou, Petra Klepac, Justin Lessler, Xi Li, Sean M. Moore, Shevanthi Nayagam, Duy Manh Nguyen, Homie Razavi, Devin Razavi-Shearer, Stephen Resch, Colin Sanderson, Steven Sweet, Stephen Sy, Yvonne Tam, Hira Tanvir, Quan Minh Tran, Caroline L. Trotter, Shaun Truelove, Kevin van Zandvoort, Stéphane Verguet, Neff Walker, Amy Winter, Kim Woodruff, Neil M. Ferguson, Tini Garske, 2021, The Lancet on p. 398-408
Understanding Herd Immunity
C. J.E. Metcalf, M. Ferrari, A. L. Graham, B. T. Grenfell, 2015, Trends in Immunology on p. 753-755
Estimated economic impact of vaccinations in 73 low- and middleincome countries, 2001–2020
Sachiko Ozawa, Samantha Clark, Allison Portnoy, Simrun Grewal, Meghan L. Stack, Anushua Sinha, Andrew Mirelman, Heather Franklin, Ingrid K. Friberg, Yvonne Tam, Neff Walker, Andrew Clark, Matthew Ferrari, Chutima Suraratdecha, Steven Sweet, Sue J. Goldie, Tini Garske, Michelle Li, Peter M. Hansen, Hope L. Johnson, Damian Walker, 2017, Bulletin of the World Health Organization on p. 629-638
Adaptive Management and the Value of Information: Learning Via Intervention in Epidemiology
Katriona Shea, Michael J. Tildesley, Michael C. Runge, Christopher J. Fonnesbeck, Matthew J. Ferrari, 2014, PLoS Biology on p. e1001970
Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response
Eric Lofgren, M Halloran, Caitlin Rivers, John Drake, Travis Porco, Bryan Lewis, Wan Yang, Alessandro Vespignani, Jeffrey Shaman, Joseph Eisenberg, others, 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America on p. 18095--18096
Mapping vaccination coverage to explore the effects of delivery mechanisms and inform vaccination strategies
C. Edson Utazi, Julia Thorley, Victor A. Alegana, Matthew J. Ferrari, Saki Takahashi, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Justin Lessler, Felicity T. Cutts, Andrew J. Tatem, 2019, Nature Communications on p. 1633
High resolution age-structured mapping of childhood vaccination coverage in low and middle income countries
C. Edson Utazi, Julia Thorley, Victor A. Alegana, Matthew J. Ferrari, Saki Takahashi, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Justin Lessler, Andrew J. Tatem, 2018, Vaccine on p. 1583-1591
News Articles Featuring Matthew Ferrari
Jun 06, 2023
Heard on Campus: Martha Nelson on the SARS-CoV-2 virus in deer
“There don’t appear to be evolutionary adaptations required for human SARS-CoV-2 virus to transmit in deer so far,” said Eberly College of Science alumna Martha Nelson, reflecting on her past two years of work as a staff scientist at the National Institutes of Health (NIH).
Full Article
May 15, 2023
Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics hosts infectious disease conference
The Penn State Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics (CIDD) will welcome 350 scientists from around the globe to discuss parasites and pathogens affecting plants, animals and humans, as part of the Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease conference.
Full Article
Dec 30, 2022
Why Scientists Are Concerned About The Re-Emergence Of One Of The World’s Deadliest Diseases
I mean, I would assume that anyone would be concerned about a deadly disease finding its way back to the surface, but measles in particular is really causing concern. One of the biggest reasons for this is that the world is seeing a sharp decline in child vaccination rates, and the timing couldn’t be worse.
Full Article
Dec 01, 2022
Nearly 40 million children are dangerously susceptible as measles threat grows
Measles vaccination coverage has steadily declined since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a report published on Nov. 23 by the World Health Organization (WHO), the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and several university researchers, including Matthew Ferrari, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics at Penn State.
Full Article
Nov 11, 2022
Penn State community grieves loss of biomathematician Howard Weiss
Howard Weiss, professor of biology and mathematics at Penn State, passed away peacefully in his sleep on Nov. 5 at the age of 64.
Full Article
May 27, 2022
Take Note: Penn State infectious disease expert Matthew Ferrari on the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022
COVID-19 cases are climbing again in Pennsylvania and nationally. And so are hospitalizations. Matthew Ferrari, director of Penn State’s Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, is also part of the research project Data4Action, which has been measuring the impact of the pandemic on the local community for the last two years. WPSU's Anne Danahy spoke with Ferrari about the current upswing in COVID cases, how to understand the data and steps that can be taken in response.
Full Article
Mar 15, 2022
Rise in COVID cases abroad, presence of omicron subvariant may foreshadow increase in US: Experts
Wastewater data in the U.S. indicates the beginnings of a potential resurgence.
Full Article
Mar 15, 2022
Rise in COVID-19 infections overseas may foreshadow increase in US, experts say
When the coronavirus receded across much of the globe last month and the omicron surge declined, many Americans were hopeful that was perhaps the signal that the United States was entering a new phase of the pandemic.
Full Article
Feb 21, 2022
What’s the true covid death toll in Pa.? New analysis sheds light
For many reasons, it’s hard to know the full impact of the covid-19 pandemic. Some deaths may have gone uncounted for reasons such as the person died at home and was never tested. A person may have died from an existing disease exacerbated by covid-19. Or a person may have died from a more indirect result of the pandemic, such as disruption in drug treatment that led to overdose.
Full Article
Jan 24, 2022
How Centre County school districts are adapting as omicron challenges in-person learning
Unlike last school year, Centre County school districts have avoided a shift to remote learning, and despite the rise of COVID-19 cases, they plan to keep it that way.
Full Article